yesterday was bookies' day and today also they will have upper hand ...
save money for the festival!
1) (1-7)-3
2) 3-8-4
3) 5-7-3
4) 6-5-8
5)(9-3-1)
6)12-9-1
7) (7-1-2-3)
8) (9-8-11)
12/25/2009
12/22/2009
why punters lose money
Why punters do not win much at races ?
Because they think that the money they bet is their money and their decision (selection) can not be questioned (correct)…
Their thinking is right, because it is their money – but their decision/(s) may not be right…
I keep experimenting on my handicapping methods and introduce them in an innocuous way to the racing ‘pundits’ occasionally. I did it on IR.com during 2004/2005 and 2007 and also on IHRB forum during summer 2007…
I offered tips on Turfparrot.com under this plan in March/April 2008 and if someone among you would have believed in my ‘handicapping ability’ he would have won more than Rs. 1,30,000/-…
How ?
I started with Fleeting Arrow(3/1) on 29 Mar08 followed by Noble Prince (5/2) on 30 Mar08 and then on 5 Apr08 selected Absolute Reality(7/2) followed by Dancing Glory (16/10 – 20% = 13/10) on 6 Apr 08…
Only one tip for the day with unambiguous opinion…
A ROLL of Rs. 1000/- on these 4 tips will give a return of more than Rs.1,36,000/- (10% tax) or Rs.1,23,000/- (26% tax) within 9 days…
Sometimes, following others( stupid blabbers) also pays…
But the icing on the cake is the following tête-à-tête on the same site between me and the readers…(only a part is reproduced)
Userid
:
chanakya (Guest)
Reply
:
thanks to all for the kind words...I will try to post regularly about big events...well goldbug,after more than a year I have notseen you...
Date/Time
:
31/03/08 21:43:18
Userid
:
chanakya (Guest)
Reply
:
R Bijlani did predict clearly that F Arrow isbetter than others in IHRB forum before me but Ican not post my'free' selections before 11am...
Date/Time
:
01/04/08 23:39:40
Userid
:
tonguencheek (Guest)
Reply
:
WELL DONE!!!!CANT GET BETTER THAN THIS .
Date/Time
:
29/03/08 18:39:16
chanakya (Guest)
Fleeting Arrow
29/03/08 11:34:14 am
Fleeting Arrow should win from archipenko in atight finish... based purely on past performance ,speed rating,track surface(not TW) , only...
Userid
:
milo (Guest)
Reply
:
Well done you called it correctly again just likethe bangalore million.
Date/Time
:
30/03/08 18:30:36
Userid
:
goldbug
Reply
:
chanakyaji,you are making this a habit.keep it up.
Date/Time
:
31/03/08 17:37:24
Userid
:
chanakya (Guest)
Reply
:
yr appetite seems to be too big...my choice - Absolute Reality - was 7/2 at Mumbai...very good and reasonable odds...
Date/Time
:
06/04/08 11:52:08
chanakya (Guest)
St. Leger
30/03/08 10:52:08 am
Noble Prince runs off pace , but if can be brought within 3 to 4 lengths of the leader at 600 can win this race fromS Success and Yana... positioning at 600 to 5oo will decide the final outcome...
chanakya (Guest)
Dancing Glory
06/04/08 12:25:52 pm
Dancing Glory should win his race...
Userid
:
Prakash (Guest)
Reply
:
With Belose riding it, its a guessing game. Anyother rider & I would have my full bet.
Date/Time
:
06/04/08 13:22:25
chanakya (Guest)
Absolute Reality and Cavaradosi
05/04/08 12:22:58 pm
today all races are open and competitive andnon-favorites seem to have the upper hand... Absolute Reality may beat/lose by whisker from Cavaradosi... I'll still prefer A Reality...
Userid
:
chalukya (Guest)
Reply
:
there ws no third horse in the race.made your jobsimpler.Chankya ji try to give us some long pricedwinners.
Date/Time
:
05/04/08 22:35:19
Userid
:
chanakya (Guest)
Reply
:
yr appetite seems to be too big...my choice - Absolute Reality - was 7/2 at Mumbai...very good and reasonable odds...
Date/Time
:
06/04/08 11:52:08
I;m sure some of you might have read it earlier on TurfParrot.com . I gave 12 tips from 30/3/08 till 3/5/08 and 10 of them have won while 2 failed .
But that is not the point I want to make. The suspicion, doubt- on the ability of others makes a punter lose money by betting on false favorites created by phony tipsters .
In this game ,no one is expert, though some are knowledgeable; because the horse does not win or lose a race but he is made to win or lose by those homo sapiens who own/train/ride him.
Because they think that the money they bet is their money and their decision (selection) can not be questioned (correct)…
Their thinking is right, because it is their money – but their decision/(s) may not be right…
I keep experimenting on my handicapping methods and introduce them in an innocuous way to the racing ‘pundits’ occasionally. I did it on IR.com during 2004/2005 and 2007 and also on IHRB forum during summer 2007…
I offered tips on Turfparrot.com under this plan in March/April 2008 and if someone among you would have believed in my ‘handicapping ability’ he would have won more than Rs. 1,30,000/-…
How ?
I started with Fleeting Arrow(3/1) on 29 Mar08 followed by Noble Prince (5/2) on 30 Mar08 and then on 5 Apr08 selected Absolute Reality(7/2) followed by Dancing Glory (16/10 – 20% = 13/10) on 6 Apr 08…
Only one tip for the day with unambiguous opinion…
A ROLL of Rs. 1000/- on these 4 tips will give a return of more than Rs.1,36,000/- (10% tax) or Rs.1,23,000/- (26% tax) within 9 days…
Sometimes, following others( stupid blabbers) also pays…
But the icing on the cake is the following tête-à-tête on the same site between me and the readers…(only a part is reproduced)
Userid
:
chanakya (Guest)
Reply
:
thanks to all for the kind words...I will try to post regularly about big events...well goldbug,after more than a year I have notseen you...
Date/Time
:
31/03/08 21:43:18
Userid
:
chanakya (Guest)
Reply
:
R Bijlani did predict clearly that F Arrow isbetter than others in IHRB forum before me but Ican not post my'free' selections before 11am...
Date/Time
:
01/04/08 23:39:40
Userid
:
tonguencheek (Guest)
Reply
:
WELL DONE!!!!CANT GET BETTER THAN THIS .
Date/Time
:
29/03/08 18:39:16
chanakya (Guest)
Fleeting Arrow
29/03/08 11:34:14 am
Fleeting Arrow should win from archipenko in atight finish... based purely on past performance ,speed rating,track surface(not TW) , only...
Userid
:
milo (Guest)
Reply
:
Well done you called it correctly again just likethe bangalore million.
Date/Time
:
30/03/08 18:30:36
Userid
:
goldbug
Reply
:
chanakyaji,you are making this a habit.keep it up.
Date/Time
:
31/03/08 17:37:24
Userid
:
chanakya (Guest)
Reply
:
yr appetite seems to be too big...my choice - Absolute Reality - was 7/2 at Mumbai...very good and reasonable odds...
Date/Time
:
06/04/08 11:52:08
chanakya (Guest)
St. Leger
30/03/08 10:52:08 am
Noble Prince runs off pace , but if can be brought within 3 to 4 lengths of the leader at 600 can win this race fromS Success and Yana... positioning at 600 to 5oo will decide the final outcome...
chanakya (Guest)
Dancing Glory
06/04/08 12:25:52 pm
Dancing Glory should win his race...
Userid
:
Prakash (Guest)
Reply
:
With Belose riding it, its a guessing game. Anyother rider & I would have my full bet.
Date/Time
:
06/04/08 13:22:25
chanakya (Guest)
Absolute Reality and Cavaradosi
05/04/08 12:22:58 pm
today all races are open and competitive andnon-favorites seem to have the upper hand... Absolute Reality may beat/lose by whisker from Cavaradosi... I'll still prefer A Reality...
Userid
:
chalukya (Guest)
Reply
:
there ws no third horse in the race.made your jobsimpler.Chankya ji try to give us some long pricedwinners.
Date/Time
:
05/04/08 22:35:19
Userid
:
chanakya (Guest)
Reply
:
yr appetite seems to be too big...my choice - Absolute Reality - was 7/2 at Mumbai...very good and reasonable odds...
Date/Time
:
06/04/08 11:52:08
I;m sure some of you might have read it earlier on TurfParrot.com . I gave 12 tips from 30/3/08 till 3/5/08 and 10 of them have won while 2 failed .
But that is not the point I want to make. The suspicion, doubt- on the ability of others makes a punter lose money by betting on false favorites created by phony tipsters .
In this game ,no one is expert, though some are knowledgeable; because the horse does not win or lose a race but he is made to win or lose by those homo sapiens who own/train/ride him.
12/21/2009
Appraisal - I
This will be my 'interest' for next few months. now I'll concentrate on Cat III races!!!
Let me remind the reader my method of calculating the win/loss account in this system of betting. When my selection is 3-5-1, it means that I prefer my first choice no 3 and will consider win/loss on this choice only ; (3-5)-1 means I’ll bet equal amount onboth the choices 3&5; (3-5-1) means I’ll bet equal amount on all the three choices 3,5 &1. I’ve calculated my win/loss under this rule till date and will follow it in future too.
I will calculate the win/loss by using bookmakers(Mumbai) odds against the race number in roman numerals ,e.g., III ( 6-2) means race number 3 and our selection have won at 6/1 and in the same race we lost our other 2 choices. For example, in race no. 3 our selection was (3-5-1) and horse no 1 won the race at odds of 6/1 then our result will show III(6-1-1) = +4 . I hope, I’ve explicitly clarified my system of ‘earning’ by betting on ‘all the races’ of the day!
Coming back to the battle ground. We have won + 1.1 units till 13 December 09 and we will start from there only.
Next day was Bangalore – 18 Dec 09. Following is the result of our efforts:
I(-1), II(-1), III(-1), IV(+ 5/2), V(-1), VI(-1), VII(-3), VIII(+12-4), tax(-1.4)
Net profit/loss = 14.50- 13.40 = + 1.10
Now we move on to 20 Dec 09 – Mumbai & Hyderabad.
Mumbai – 20 December 09
I(0 – no tip), II(-2), III(+13/10-1), IV(4/10), V(-1), VI (-1), VII(-1), VIII(+6-2), IX(+7/2-2), X(-1), XI(-2), XII(+6/4), tax (-1.8)
Net profit/loss = +12.65 – 14.8 = - 2.15
Hyderabad – 20 December 09
I(+1), II(-1), III( -1), IV(+6-2), V(+11/2), VI(+9/4), VII(-1), VIII(-1),
IX(-3), tax(-1.3)
Net profit/loss = +14.75 – 10.3 = 4.45
NET EARNINGS TILL DATE UNDER CATEGORY III
+1.10(till 13Dec) +1.10(Bng-18Dec) – 2.15(Mumbai -20Dec) +4 .45(Hyd 20Dec) = +4.50
What does this indicate ?
Betting during more than one month, on almost every race on every day at Mumbai, Bangalore and Hyderabad on about 200+ races you can still win !!!
Let me remind the reader my method of calculating the win/loss account in this system of betting. When my selection is 3-5-1, it means that I prefer my first choice no 3 and will consider win/loss on this choice only ; (3-5)-1 means I’ll bet equal amount onboth the choices 3&5; (3-5-1) means I’ll bet equal amount on all the three choices 3,5 &1. I’ve calculated my win/loss under this rule till date and will follow it in future too.
I will calculate the win/loss by using bookmakers(Mumbai) odds against the race number in roman numerals ,e.g., III ( 6-2) means race number 3 and our selection have won at 6/1 and in the same race we lost our other 2 choices. For example, in race no. 3 our selection was (3-5-1) and horse no 1 won the race at odds of 6/1 then our result will show III(6-1-1) = +4 . I hope, I’ve explicitly clarified my system of ‘earning’ by betting on ‘all the races’ of the day!
Coming back to the battle ground. We have won + 1.1 units till 13 December 09 and we will start from there only.
Next day was Bangalore – 18 Dec 09. Following is the result of our efforts:
I(-1), II(-1), III(-1), IV(+ 5/2), V(-1), VI(-1), VII(-3), VIII(+12-4), tax(-1.4)
Net profit/loss = 14.50- 13.40 = + 1.10
Now we move on to 20 Dec 09 – Mumbai & Hyderabad.
Mumbai – 20 December 09
I(0 – no tip), II(-2), III(+13/10-1), IV(4/10), V(-1), VI (-1), VII(-1), VIII(+6-2), IX(+7/2-2), X(-1), XI(-2), XII(+6/4), tax (-1.8)
Net profit/loss = +12.65 – 14.8 = - 2.15
Hyderabad – 20 December 09
I(+1), II(-1), III( -1), IV(+6-2), V(+11/2), VI(+9/4), VII(-1), VIII(-1),
IX(-3), tax(-1.3)
Net profit/loss = +14.75 – 10.3 = 4.45
NET EARNINGS TILL DATE UNDER CATEGORY III
+1.10(till 13Dec) +1.10(Bng-18Dec) – 2.15(Mumbai -20Dec) +4 .45(Hyd 20Dec) = +4.50
What does this indicate ?
Betting during more than one month, on almost every race on every day at Mumbai, Bangalore and Hyderabad on about 200+ races you can still win !!!
12/20/2009
MUMBAI AND HYDERABAD - 20/12/09
MUMBAI
Cat III
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
(7-1)-8
(2-8)-5
3-1
5
9-5-1
8-7-4
(1-16-15)
(8-7-1)
11-8-3
(4-8)-1
3-1-4
HYDERABAD
3
3-8-4
8-3-5
(1-6-7)
3-1-2
5-4-1
7-13-3
1-3-7
(6-1-14)
Cat III
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
(7-1)-8
(2-8)-5
3-1
5
9-5-1
8-7-4
(1-16-15)
(8-7-1)
11-8-3
(4-8)-1
3-1-4
HYDERABAD
3
3-8-4
8-3-5
(1-6-7)
3-1-2
5-4-1
7-13-3
1-3-7
(6-1-14)
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