Mayfair Girl ,Ivory Snow, Spot On should win and Bernardo is an eachway chance.
for Derby I'm going to place my tenner on Fleet Indian but hedge him with Red Renegade.
10/02/2009
Hyderabad Derby on 2/10/09- some opinions
Fleeting glance at Hyderabad Derby winners:
Only 3 criteria - Pedigree , Class and performance will be considered .
It is sometimes embarrassing to speak out of turn – especially when talking to skeptics and Indian race goers are no exception . Without knowing the entries, handicaps , riders , current form, acceptance to say that ‘X’ runner is better than ‘Y’ runner is risky and I did take that risk -10days before the actual running of Hyderabad Derby.
Some additions to the acceptance made it mandatory to talk about some more of them and -take a ‘fleeting glance’ at some of them . Following is my opinion about them – considering class, pedigree and performance only.
Al Fatha( Steinbeck-Anguilla) has always won as a fluke and failed as a favorite! His sire is maternal grandsire of Set Alight and his dam has won a race upto 2000m and Anguilla’s damsire EverydayII was a known stayer . In race no 116 after loitering in rear he picked up speed and ended 5th. Nothing much to talk about but flukes have never given a chance to talk about them!
Cambiasso(Razeen-Gourgandine) is a disgrace to the pedigree . the sire and dam have produced Allied Forces and Perceived Value – both winners over 2400m+ and this gelding ‘refusing’ to win a single race surprises me . He can not win this race, with this kind of performance.
Davenport(Steinbeck- Congratulations) . The dam has won Indian Oaks(2400m) but has not produced any good runner, though Davenport seems to be the best of her produce till date. With a bit of luck he may win .
Fleet Indian(Tejano- Afrodita) has a sprinter/miler as a sire and a stayer as the dam –a standard prescription of present day racing. He was beaten by Gypsy Magic by 1 ½ lengths in a1600m race in which he did take over the lead at 300m and lost to Gypsy Magic at 200m indicating that if ridden in check and ’desperately’ he may prove many of us wrong! His half brother Brown Sugar did win Hyderabad Derby and placed III in Bangalore winter Derby(2400m) and staying 2000m will be no problem for him. But the question is why was he loitering 5 to 6 lengths behind the leader in race no 116 and then put up a show of closing in on winner from 200m. The connections may be in a better position than me to explain this weird phenomenon ! He is the best of the lot – performance wise , but can he win ? Intention of the connections and the kind of run will prove it.
Leonardo(Tirol- Island Charm) was closing in(Bangalore race no 94) on Sprint Star – shock winner, in Colts Trial at Bangalore and a worthy winner of Mysore 2000 Guinness recently . His performance in Gypsy Magic winning race no 173 was more intriguing –placing 5th. from nowhere! Bustino in his pedigree confirms that he can run upto 2400m- but will he? He is a live threat unless ‘ they’ have some other plans. Let us wait, watch and see.
Red Dragon(Major Impact- Zillion Figlia) has won a 1800m race at Pune but the dam does not encourage the staying abilities of this runner and if he wins I’ll be be most surprised watcher of the race. Then I’ll have to go deep in the pedigree of this runner and come out with a reasonable explanation.
Red Renegade( Placerville- Sky Rocket) won a1600m race start to finish proving his staying ability. His grand dam Bazooka Babe has produced not one but two runners who have won over 2800m confirming that he will have no problem over this distance .
The race is wide open and I’ll short list Fleet Indian ,Leonardo, Red Renegade and Davenport but a fluke can not be ruled out – who may be Al Fatah or Red Dragon
Only 3 criteria - Pedigree , Class and performance will be considered .
It is sometimes embarrassing to speak out of turn – especially when talking to skeptics and Indian race goers are no exception . Without knowing the entries, handicaps , riders , current form, acceptance to say that ‘X’ runner is better than ‘Y’ runner is risky and I did take that risk -10days before the actual running of Hyderabad Derby.
Some additions to the acceptance made it mandatory to talk about some more of them and -take a ‘fleeting glance’ at some of them . Following is my opinion about them – considering class, pedigree and performance only.
Al Fatha( Steinbeck-Anguilla) has always won as a fluke and failed as a favorite! His sire is maternal grandsire of Set Alight and his dam has won a race upto 2000m and Anguilla’s damsire EverydayII was a known stayer . In race no 116 after loitering in rear he picked up speed and ended 5th. Nothing much to talk about but flukes have never given a chance to talk about them!
Cambiasso(Razeen-Gourgandine) is a disgrace to the pedigree . the sire and dam have produced Allied Forces and Perceived Value – both winners over 2400m+ and this gelding ‘refusing’ to win a single race surprises me . He can not win this race, with this kind of performance.
Davenport(Steinbeck- Congratulations) . The dam has won Indian Oaks(2400m) but has not produced any good runner, though Davenport seems to be the best of her produce till date. With a bit of luck he may win .
Fleet Indian(Tejano- Afrodita) has a sprinter/miler as a sire and a stayer as the dam –a standard prescription of present day racing. He was beaten by Gypsy Magic by 1 ½ lengths in a1600m race in which he did take over the lead at 300m and lost to Gypsy Magic at 200m indicating that if ridden in check and ’desperately’ he may prove many of us wrong! His half brother Brown Sugar did win Hyderabad Derby and placed III in Bangalore winter Derby(2400m) and staying 2000m will be no problem for him. But the question is why was he loitering 5 to 6 lengths behind the leader in race no 116 and then put up a show of closing in on winner from 200m. The connections may be in a better position than me to explain this weird phenomenon ! He is the best of the lot – performance wise , but can he win ? Intention of the connections and the kind of run will prove it.
Leonardo(Tirol- Island Charm) was closing in(Bangalore race no 94) on Sprint Star – shock winner, in Colts Trial at Bangalore and a worthy winner of Mysore 2000 Guinness recently . His performance in Gypsy Magic winning race no 173 was more intriguing –placing 5th. from nowhere! Bustino in his pedigree confirms that he can run upto 2400m- but will he? He is a live threat unless ‘ they’ have some other plans. Let us wait, watch and see.
Red Dragon(Major Impact- Zillion Figlia) has won a 1800m race at Pune but the dam does not encourage the staying abilities of this runner and if he wins I’ll be be most surprised watcher of the race. Then I’ll have to go deep in the pedigree of this runner and come out with a reasonable explanation.
Red Renegade( Placerville- Sky Rocket) won a1600m race start to finish proving his staying ability. His grand dam Bazooka Babe has produced not one but two runners who have won over 2800m confirming that he will have no problem over this distance .
The race is wide open and I’ll short list Fleet Indian ,Leonardo, Red Renegade and Davenport but a fluke can not be ruled out – who may be Al Fatah or Red Dragon
10/01/2009
Mysore 1/10.09
in first race Winning Attitude can win if connections are serious otherwise better to play place bet
races no 6,7 and 8 are very competitive and any one can win :
my preference and not selection is :
race no 6 : 4-1-2-3
race no 7: 2-1-9-3
race no 8: 1-11-6-4
races no 6,7 and 8 are very competitive and any one can win :
my preference and not selection is :
race no 6 : 4-1-2-3
race no 7: 2-1-9-3
race no 8: 1-11-6-4
9/28/2009
hyderabad 28/09/09
Arabian Dancer and Vijayrath should win their respective races , if on job.
note the flow of money and decide.
note the flow of money and decide.
9/27/2009
Pune- Hyderabad 27/09/09
Pune races
following should win
Thanda, Sea Queen and River Star.
Hyderabad- Chesapeake has a good chance to win - jockey is the question.
following should win
Thanda, Sea Queen and River Star.
Hyderabad- Chesapeake has a good chance to win - jockey is the question.
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