Noble Prince and Arabian Knight are two confirmed stayers ,in training, at present and their runs and pedigree study prove certain points.
Arabian Knight after winning Hyderabad St. Leger in smart time of 2m 56.7s tried his luck in Indian St. Leger but he(57kgs.) was beaten by Noble Prince(57kgs.) by 5 lengths in good going,indicating that at level weight in good going Noble Prince is better and will beat him. Few months later ,they met again ,in Bangalore summer St. Leger in 'soft going' with intermittent drizzle since morning ,renderning the track soft and penetrometer reading 5.6cm- an ideal condition for a true stayer and he beat Noble Prince convincingly.
After almost 1 1/2 yrs. both again ran togather in a 2400m race in Governor's cup at level (60kgs) weight in good going and Noble Prince repeated his Indian Leger win by defeating him by 5 1/2 lengths.
this proves few points:
a)many races are run true to form and ability of runners,
b)track condition - or 'going' as they call it plays an important role in the final outcome,
c)it is the mare which provides the staying ability to a progeny
d) in 'bad' going (PR value more than 5 cm) Arabian Knight should reverse the result as he did in Bangalore St. Leger.
3 comments:
Dear Chanakya
This is brilliant study. Thanks for the information
Santhosh
why dont you give selections or atleast pre race analysis?.Allways post mortems..
though late but it is better late then never!
santhosh, thanks for the appreciation.
Rakesh,
analysis of a trend,factual info,a confirmation of ageold beliefs and theories are not post mortems - try to understand the difference. When someone tries to correlate various facts with the well-established beliefs and proves them to be reasonably correct -though the 'sample' is small, you should be able to differentiate between facts and fiction. If not, I'm sorry I'll not do it for you.
this blog is not meant for offering tips- for that you may look elsewhere.
I'll offer my opinion about current races occasionally and only when I feel strongly about some runner. As per my info more than 30 tipsters(sites,blogs,newspapes,racebooks) offer tips regularly ,you will be benefitted if you read them. 20 of them are available free to RWITC racegoers.
if prerace analysis and multitude of tips would have helped , beggers would hace become millionaires! I can only say that.
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